Thursday 5 July 2018

Brazil A Update 2/20 - Flamengo

FLAMENGO'S FIRST SEMESTER: Flamengo ended the "pre-world cup" 12 rounds as leaders.

They are alive at all competitions that matter (Serie A, Brazil Cup and Libertadores). However, they face Gremio at the Cup, which is a competition that their adversaries are the biggest winners in history together with Cruzeiro, who they also face in Libertadores. The point here is Flamengo has been seeded harshly towards difficult Brazilian teams in the cups, and they ended 1st in the table by round 12. This is leading towards a potentially interesting info in the AH market (last paragraph).

They ended well this part of the year but it's not looking like they got any stronger during the break

RUMOURS AND TEAM NEWS DURING THE CUP TIME: The limited interim coach will stay, also, they lost an important player (Vinicius Junior) who will finally join Real Madrid (either to play or be loaned within Europe to become lesser greener). IMO it's basically bad news for Flamengo.

ASIAN HANDICAP POTENTIAL BARGAINS

A key attacker is leaving, and a coach with little name is staying indefinitely. This is the kind of thing that hardly ever works longer than half a season in Brazil. Flamengo is perhaps the club with the biggest club/press pressure and a coach without a name could not resist when key fixtures start being placed every other 3.5 days. 

I guess the most relevant thing is they have factors that could push their very good % of points collected so far to a lower one. 

There's a nother tip too...

There is an understanding in the press that a peculiar situation in the schedule of fixtures might inffluence how Flamengo and Gremio will face the fixture. Fla and Gremio will play at cup and Serie A in the same week, and there's a general understanding that they desire opposite things the most, i.e. Gremio wants Cup Fla the Serie A, so some kind of dirty exchange of pseudo favors could be seen, i.e. Gremio Regulars VS Fla Sub team @ Cup and Flamengo Regs VS Gremio subs @ Serie A.

This is a fact to be observed.

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