GREMIO'S FIRST SEMESTER REVIEW: The club has been kind of a victim of the bizarre Brazilian calendar, which is always an object of confusion for foreigners, I might dedicate a post about this mad calendar. Back to Gremio, the team went on vacation time after losing bravely to Real Madrid in the FIFA Club World Cup. The Reserve Team comprised mainly of youngsters started poorly in the regional league of Campeonato Gaucho, and because of an external pressure (press/fans) Gremio had to rush the 1st team back into work before the Physicians and other staff members had planned for them. This early use of the players without a propper pre-season period resulted into many injuries throughout the 1st semester.
Gremio has also rested regulars on a number of occasions, partly due to the problems described above. As a result, they haven't been able to focus entirely in Serie A. The club is also known for having the cups (Libertadores and Brazil Cup) as their historic kind of competition, Gremio's fans simply love their beautiful and rich story of heroic cup games, and there's often pressure to rest regulars in the domestic season aiming this kind of fixture.
In a nutshell, Gremio's ups and downs stem from the mistakes during the months of January and February, but they still were able to lift Recopa Sudamericana and Regional trophies. They consider their first semester very good in terms of results, and they are very motivated as still alive in both cups plus still in the first quarter of the classification table.
TEAM NEWS / RUMOURS DURING WORLD CUP BREAK:
Gremio signed Marinho, a forward that was playing in China, he has a relationship with the coach which dates back to their days in Fluminense nearly a decade ago. IMO the "big transfer" was probably overpriced, but as Gremio received about a couple million EUR more than they expected from Barça to receive Arthur in advance, we can question the cost-benefit ration of the operation but we must highlight how Gremio's financial situation is very organized and a big asset in this moment. They aren't overspending, they are doing much well due to a good plan being executed by President Romildo Bolzan.
I'd say Gremio's WC break hasn't been much turbulent, as we saw in other clubs. The big question mark lies on the future of the coach, which is not a dumb speculation target, IMO the press (especially local in Porto Alegre) has been losing the chance to point finger deeper into the matter. Renato Gaucho is a big contender to be the coach of the Brazilian International Selection in the future, just like Tite has been in the past. His name has grown towards national admiral over the past 24 months, and even if Brazil wins WC, the Brazilian coach hardly ever stays in the job. Gremio's quality is deeply rooted into this coach and this could change radically everything in the club. So far, Gremio's fans can feel that "no news good news" but the matter will be discussed in detail should Renato ever departure.
ASIAN HANDICAP AND GREMIO: RECURRENT TARGETS
Gremio has been particularly keen in a few aspects of the game which are very unusual for Serie A standards. They usually attack when playing away from home as much as they do in their Gremio Arena. This is interesting to keep an eye on, and you could also say that they keep emotionally cool if they suffer early goals. The players also keep focused and fighting until the final whistle without some typical mood issues expected by Brazilian teams exposed to similar pressure levels. In a nutshell, Gremio is the kind of team you might want to buy when down the score in a well observed In-Running AH Scenario.
Moreover, we can generally say they are strong hosts, but I'm not a big fan of huge handicaps so waiting some minutes live could add some value to the "target". I always highlight that Brazil is a league that offers proportionately higher In-Running value than many other leagues, so potential live strategies will often be suggested here.
Happy Trading!
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